Tag: Ethereum Price Prediction

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Altcoin Season!

Altcoin Season

Take Advantage Of Altcoin Price Trends Of 2021

The evidence is abundant that 2021 is the year that will bring a jaw-dropping Altcoin Season. Just as the sun rises in the East and sets in the West, Bitcoin is the first cryptocurrency to rise in price, and the Altcoins eventually follow.

Bitcoin Leads, The Altcoins Follow

There’s no questioning that Bitcoin is the definitive OG of the cryptoshere, as is most likely best highlighted by the point that the flagship digital asset has been in a position to pique the interest of many prominent legacy financial institutions – like Microstrategy, BlackRock, Grayscale – during the last year or thereabouts.

Not just that, in recent months, a selection of banks and venture capital funds as JP Morgan, Raiffeisen, Pantera Capital have projected BTC to scale past beyond the $100k mark with great ease (not to mention our own Bitcoin prediction exceeding $379,000 in 2021), indirectly indicating their growing confidence in this yet incipient asset class.

Even with all the sell offs and volatility which was witnessed during the last week, data available on the web definitely shows that the number of addresses with 1,000 or over Bitcoin (referred to as “whales” in the crypto world) has continued to increase. As is ALWAYS so with professional institutional money, the “buy-the-dip” strategy is employed with full force.

It’s called “talking your book” om Wall Street jargon.

While big institutional players plant news stories and give interviews that create fear, uncertainty and doubt (FUD) – thus driving the price down as nervous traders sell – at the same time they are accumulating for themselves at lower prices.

Like it or not, that’s standard operating procedure for traditional markets, and especially crypto.

Bottom line: whales continue to buy Bitcoin.

And where Bitcoin leads, the altcoins will follow.

Forecasting Altcoin Market Activity for the Coming Year

We’ve been pounding the table that 2021 is going to be another moonshot type of year due to the 4-year cycle. 2013 was the year of the first 4-year cycle top. 2017 was the second instance of a tremendous crypto bull run into the second top of the 4-year cycle.

2021 will be the year of the third top of the 4-year cycle.

In order to gain a better understanding of how the 4 year cycle top will play out, we’ll go back and examine the previous iteration of the cycle.

Looking At The Altcoin Season Of 2017

It’s been said that “History doesn’t repeat, but it sure does rhyme.” If you go back and look at historical prices of Bitcoin from previous years, it’s very obvious that Bitcoin isn’t following the 4-year cycle precisely 100% on a daily basis, but the correlation is over 90%.

In other words, Bitcoin price action rhymes with previous Bitcoin price action.

Let’s look closely at Bitcoin’s price action in 2017 as well as the leader of the altcoins, Ethereum.

Bitcoin Price Action In 2017

Bitcoin was priced at $1,003 on January 1, 2017.

It took 138 days for Bitcoin to double in price. (May 18)

It took 216 days for Bitcoin to triple in price. (August 4)

It took 226 days for Bitcoin to quadruple in price. (August 14)

It took 284 days for Bitcoin to quintuple in price. (October 11)

Ultimately, Bitcoin went up more than 19-fold into the 4-year cycle high on December 17, 2017.

Ethereum Price Action In 2017

Ethereum was priced at $8.20 on January 1, 2017.

It took 60 days for Ethereum to double in price. (March 1)

It took 72 days for Ethereum to triple in price. (March 13)

It took 74 days for Ethereum to quadruple in price. (March 15)

It took 75 days for Ethereum to quintuple in price. (March 16)

By the first day of summer, June 21, Ethereum had increased in price by a factor of 41 times over.

Ultimately, Ethereum went up more than 170-fold into the 4-year cycle high on January 10, 2018.

Altcoin Season Lessons

Looking at the above prices of both Bitcoin and Ethereum, we can gain insights into how the altcoin season of 2021 will unfold.

Here are some key takeaways:

  1. Once altcoin season starts to gain momentum, prices of meritable altcoins will rise faster than Bitcoin.
  2. March is likely to be a very good month for the leading altcoins.
  3. By the summer of 2021, a handful of the best altcoins should be as much as 40 times higher in price compared to where they started the year.
  4. The top altcoins could go up in price more than 150 times their value at the start of the year.
  5. Bitcoin will reach its 4-year cycle peak 3 to 4 weeks before the altcoins do, and will start its new bear market.
  6. The entire altcoin market will follow Bitcoin into its next bear market.

Specific Price Targets

There’s no question in our minds that 2021 is going to be a very, very exciting year for cryptocurrency investors.

You should, however, remember that prices don’t move in a straight line higher. Bitcoin Experienced several LARGE drops in 2017, even though the the overall trend was wildly bullish.

The same is likely to be the case this year.

If you’d like to see some of our specific 2021 price predictions for specific coins, simply head on over to this page.

Altcoin Season Basics

An altcoin season is also a term used for a season in which an altcoin is outperforming the price of the original: Bitcoin. There are three stages to an altcoin season. The first stage is when there is a profiting trend on an altcoin that is very new, or a trend that is new to a particular altcoin. The second stage is when the profiting trend dies down, and there is no longer any substantial profit potential from the altcoin in question.

In the third phase, after the profiting trend has died down, the altcoin season starts to see a new influx of traders who are looking to make a long position in the market. By this stage, the profitability potential in trading on any altcoin is significantly reduced. During the second phase, the price movement of all-time high prices of bitcoin continues on its upward trek.

One of the factors that makes the altcoin season so interesting to follow is the fact that there is considerable amount of volatility in the market. The large increase in volatility is what allows an investor to profit from the trading of ether and another high valued alternative currency. Volatility is usually considered a good thing for experienced traders because it increases the opportunities to profit from price movement – both UP and DOWN.

For investors and holders, however, the volatility can be nerve wracking.

lastly, it’s important to remember that the altcoin season doesn’t last forever. In fact, most (statistically it’s over 90%!) investors lose money during the bearish period. However, if you find several profitable altcoins during this time, it can be literally, life-changing.

Come the end of 2021, just remember one fact: trees don’t grow to the sky.

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Blockchain News Cryptocurrency News

Chainlink Price Prediction

Chainlink Price Prediction

This is 4th in our series of 2021 price predictions for some of the major coins by market cap. We’ve already outlined our Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Stellar Lumens price projections for 2021. Today will will provide our Chainlink price prediction.

Further down in this article we will go over the details of what exactly Chainlink is and the potential that it offers, but you’re here for a price prediction, and we’re going to get right to it.

As always, we like to review price forecasts made by others in the crypto industry before we provide our own.

CaptainAltcoin shares the following LINK predictions:

Let’s throw a glance at the eminent publications and personalities, and their predictions regarding the ChainLink (LINK) price, which will give us another point of view to consider:

Trading Beasts – LINK – $20.78

Trading Beasts have given LINK prediction on monthly basis and they have forecasted that by the end of 2021, Chainlink might reach $20.78 to the maximum and $10.53 to the minimum.

Coin Fan – LINK – $23.18

Coin Fan is good at giving optimistic numbers and has predicted that by the end of 2021, LINK might reach $23.18, which is way more bullish and optimistic a prediction. They have even forecasted that by 2023, LINK might reach as much as $300, which is an unbelievable prediction.

Digital Coin Price – LINK – $15.74

Digital Coin price also has given a monthly prediction for Chainlink and they have projected that by the end of 2021, LINK might reach $15.743, which is almost double the current price.

Wallet Investor – LINK – $18.32

Wallet Investor is known for giving not so optimistic prediction for almost every digital currencies. Even for Chainlink, it is not quite different. They have predicted that by 2021 end, LINK might go down to $18.325.

Looking at the above forecasts for the price Chainlink might climb to this year, we’d venture to say they need to update their forecasting methods!

LINK has already surpassed 3 out of the four, and has almost surpassed the fourth. Needless to say, there’ still a LOT of time left in 2021 for LINK to keep Climbing.

Let’s review a few other LINK forecasts.

Coinpedia.org offers this prediction:

Chainlink has drawn a lot of attention and attracted new fans to their project. Their activities and appreciation among other industry players have increased trust in the company. By the end of 2021, the coin may reach about $28.

CryptoEinfach reported these Chainlink price predictions for 2021:

Crypto-rating.com determined the year-by-year price change of Chainlink with their own AI-enabled algorithm, they are predicting In 2021, Chainlink will be priced around $19.82.

Digitalcoinprice.com thinks Chainlink will peak in 2024 with around $34.3 their prediction is a bit more pessimistic with a price in 2021 of $20.49.

Once again, LINK has already exceeded the two price forecasts above.

This is the LINK prediction as declared by gov.capital:

Our site uses a custom algorithm based on Deep Learning that helps our users to decide if LINK could be a good portfolio addition for the future. These predictions take several variables into account such as volume changes, price changes, market cycles, similar coins.

Future price of the asset is predicted at $33.033427 (57.429% ) after a year according to our prediction system.

Custom deep learning algorithm? Sounds so sophisticated. However, If our LINK prediction is anywhere near close to what actually occurs, it won’t be very long before it becomes crystal clear that their deep learning algo needs to go back to shcool.

Lastly, here is the LINK forecast provided by the bybit blog:

The Chainlink price is predicted to experience a bullish trend, sustaining over $23 in 2021 and paving the way for an eventual run up to $60 in 5 years

LINK over $23.00 during 2021? With the price of LINK quoted at press time of $22.22, that’s about as risk-free of a forecast as one can make.

It should be very evident from the forecasts above that all the “experts” are unanimously calling for the price of Chainlink to pretty much remain in the range of its current price.

We strongly disagree.

Our 2021 Chainlink Price Prediction

We’ve said it before, but it needs to be said again: there is a 4-year cycle in cryptocurrency prices. This cycle is most likely – or at least partially – caused by the Bitcoin halving cycle, which itself is a four year cycle.

This cycle has existed since the creation of Bitcoin. While it certainly could, we see no reason for this cycle to suddenly disappear this year.

This 4 year cycle, which has existed in the cryptocurrency market since day one, suggests that 2021 is going to be another roaring year for crypto prices.

Previous 4 Year Cycle Tops

The previous 2 tops of the 4 year cycle were 2013 and 2017. The next cycle peak is due around Christmas time in 2021.

Bitcoin has been through two complete 4 year cycles. Chainlink was released in June of 2017, and thus we don’t have a full cycle year to use as reference. Price history only goes back to mid September of that year. as such, we don’t have the data from a previous cycle to use as a basis for making a prediction for this cycle.

Instead, we are going to look at our projected multipliers for Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Stellar Lumens, and reason that the multiplier for LINK will probably be similar.

What Multiple For LINK?

We are predicting bitcoin to go up in price by a factor of 15.4 times to reach its high at the end of this year.

We are predicting Stellar Lumens to go up in price by a factor of 20 to 74 times to reach its high at the end of this year.

We are predicting Ethereum to go up in price by a factor of 18 to 34 times to reach its high at the end of this year.

LINK started 2021 at a price of $11.87 on January 1.

Chainlink 30x This Year

We believe that LINK’s price performance this year will mirror that of XLM and ETH. As such, we are going to use a multiplier of 30x.

Using this multiplier, we predict a price high for LINK at the end of this year to be $356.10.

Our LINK 2021 Price Prediction: $356.10

That’s our LINK prediction. While it may seem unreasonably high, let us remind you that at that price the total Market Cap of Chainlink would only be about $150 billion. As of press time, Ethereum has a total market cap of $140 billion. We believe it is reasonable to forecast LINK could reach a similar market cap.

What’s Chainlink (LINK)?

Chainlink is actually a blockchain platform developed to protect clients against unauthorized access when exchanging data while working for complicated smart contracts. The Chainlink solution offers advanced data protection both outside and inside of the blockchain.

The Chainlink blockchain consists of special nodes known as oracles. For the network to operate right, the smart contracts have to do the job properly, as well as the data sent to them should be dependable. A decentralized oracle network verifies the input data from different sources and then sends them to an intelligent contract. This achieves greater accuracy of input info, and that is at times difficult to confirm in a centralized fashion. Additionally, that eliminates data manipulation. The Chainlink oracle serves as a dependable bridge between data providers and the customers of theirs.

Chainlink is an answer necessary for blockchain to evolve.

Smart contracts enable you to move cryptocurrency from one address to the next when certain conditions are actually met. Readily available for public viewing in the blockchain, smart contracts are actually invariable, which implies that the parameters of the agreement or maybe contract features cannot be changed once they are deployed.

Smart contracts requiring off chain data need to have a dependable source to properly transfer details to the chain before this information is transferred forth and back to any off chain party. The communication issue had formerly held back the improvement of smart contracts. Nevertheless, with the growth of oracles, that issue is a factor of the past. Smart contracts may today be used for an assortment of scenarios.

Oracles

Oracles are actually used to transfer actual data to the blockchain via smart contracts. Any data could be transferred, weather forecast, the football or price details match score. Decentralized financing (DeFi) is actually probably the most typical use of an oracle because these platforms need probably the most correct and trustworthy sources of information readily available to avoid errors.

An oracle is actually a middleman or maybe middleware that functions like a bridge between a number of parties during the data transfer to and out of a blockchain. Oracle checks and transmits serious data to various blockchain ecosystems in which the information is then utilised. When oracles utilized in conjunction with smart contracts, they confirm that the conditions of the intelligent contract are actually fulfilled and that the data provided is actually dependable.

Chainlink’s Applications

Centralized oracles include a problem: if the system fails, it is able to result in a failure on some other platforms, possibly putting users’ funds at risk. If one single oracle shuts down for a short time, it is able to cause chaos for a lot of people. Which generates significant trust issues for a centralized oracle network.

Chainlink’s network of decentralized node operators is financially urged to attain a consensus on data reliability. Abusers are actually penalized for playing unfairly, and the data of theirs gets rejected without reaching consensus with the majority of the network. That is the decentralization element which makes the Chainlink network very safe.

Just how does Chainlink (LINK) work?

Chainlink (LINK) is actually a decentralized network of oracles whose main objective is actually connecting smart contracts with info coming out of the planet. Since a blockchain doesn’t have access that is totally free entry to info outside of the system of its, the oracle acts as an info channel in an intelligent contract.

The Chainlink network uses as its underlying asset LINK tokens, that are required to extract off network data flows. All tokens are actually created into a readable blockchain and off chain network computing system which offers a reliable, secure workflow.

Chainlink is based on clients and information providers. Clients choose specific desired data, as well as providers share just this data. Being a guarantee, data providers block a particular percent of LINK tokens if they publish an offer for data. These tokens may be confiscated in the event of vendor misconduct. At exactly the same time, Chainlink uses the oracle reputation system to gather and assess the data provided. When everything goes smoothly, suppliers just receive the payment of theirs, and everybody is satisfied.

Bottom line: Chainlink connects data providers with the buyers and has a very bright future.

Categories
Cryptocurrency News Ethereum News

Ethereum Price Prediction

Ethereum Price Prediction

Earlier today we reported on the “unprecedented demand” for Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies. As we reported, this very strong demand is the driving force behind pushing the price of cryptocurrencies to all time highs and beyond.

Bitcoin has already more than doubled its previous all time high price of just under $20,000 back in 2017. On the other hand, Ethereum has only recently approached its all time high price from early 2018.

Our prediction for the price of Bitcoin this year is well into the 6 digit range. However, what is our prediction for the price of Ethereum this year?

Here are three Ethereum price predictions made by financial professionals, followed by our own prognostication.

Raoul Pal Ethereum Prediction For 2021 and Beyond

Raoul Pal is well known in financial circles. He is CEO & Co-Founder, Real Vision Group & Global Macro Investor. Raoul Pal leads Real Vision to provide unparalleled access to the very best insights and analysis from the brightest financial minds. He prides himself on being a Business Cycle Economist, Investment Strategist, and Economic Historian.

In a very recent video he states:

But it suggests that Ethereum could go to $20,000 on this cycle. Over time, I believe, and if you look at it, the adoption actually of market cap versus number of wallet addresses of Ethereum is ahead of, significantly ahead of where Bitcoin was.

And you see the distribution of returns – Again, I put some of that on twitter. I’ve written this whole piece. I will do a piece of Real Vision crypto in the next couple of weeks. It shows potentially that Ethereum is getting adopted faster and will potentially have a larger market cap than Bitcoin over time.

Again, I’m not putting a “flippening” happening immediately, blah, blah, bl;ah, I’m talking about platform versus asset. And the platform is often more valuable than an asset.

When Raoul states that Ethereum “could go to $20,000 on this cycle”, he is talking about this year, as in 2021. “This cycle” refers to the next 4 year cycle top, due around Christmas of 2021, or a few weeks later.

Longer term, meaning possibly a decade or so, Rauol believes that the price of Ethereum could be higher than the price of Bitcoin. You can see his full Ethereum prediction in this video:

Tyler Winklevoss 2021 Ethereum Prediction

Tyler Winklevoss recently gave an interview in which he predicted that Bitcoin would eventually be worth at least $500,000. In the same interview he also made some forecasts for Ethereum. he stated:

“So, you know, Ether’s got to upgrade. It’s moving to ETH 2.0. There’s some scalability things it’s got to work through. But, like, I’m an optimist and the smartest folks in the room are working on it. So if Ether’a the global computer in the future, what’s that worth? It’s gotta be a ton, and it’s gotta be worth as much as digital gold I would think, maybe more.”

Previously in the interview he stated that digital gold would be equivalent to a $9 trillion market cap. At the time of the interview a couple of weeks ago, the market cap of Ethereum was $84.56 billion. If the total market cap of Ethereum grows to $9 trillion, that would mean that each Ethereum token would be worth about $78,000 a piece, assuming that the growth of the number of new Ethereum tokens created each day continues at the same pace.

Tyler’s full interview can be viewed in this video:

Blocktown Capital’s James Todaro ETH Prediction For 2021

James Todaro, managing partner at Blocktown Capital, thinks that ETH has the potential to reach a $1 trillion market cap on the basis of the growing DeFi industry. According to his estimate, the value of Ethereum could surge to $9,000.

Our Own Ethereum Prediction For 2021

When looking at the fundamentals, we can clearly see that blockchain is a disruptive technology that will invade all of finance and the economy just as software has done in the past 50 years. Fundamentally speaking, crypto is the future.

That’s the basis for our forecast of the continued growth of the industry.

Fundamentals vs. Technicals

When it comes to price forecasting, we always want our technical price analysis to dovetail with our fundamental analysis. Our technical analysis looks at past price behavior, and our fundamental analysis sheds light on whether or not we feel it likely that previous price trends will continue or not.

In the case of Ethereum, like the 3 analysts above, we do feel confident that the positive price trends will continue.

The 4 Year Cycle In Crypto Prices

There is clearly a 4 year cycle in the cryptocurrency market. The next 4 year cycle peak is due around December of 2021.

Bitcoin has gone through 2 complete cycles, but Ethereum has not. With less of a track record, it makes it more difficult to predict where the price of Ethereum will be at the end of 2021.

Looking back at the previous year which was a 4 year cycle top, 2017, Bitcoin started the year on January 1, at $998.33. It ended the year on December 31, 2018 at $14,156.40, after climbing over $19,400 in mid December of that year. Depending on whether you’re looking at the highest price reached in mid December or whether you’re looking at the end of the year price, Bitcoin went up by a factor of between 14x and 19x during the last 4 year cycle top.

While this performance is still exceptional, it is quite a bit less than the gains from the previous 4 year cycle top that happened 4 years prior, in 2013.

Bitcoin started that year on January 1, at $13.30. It ended the year on December 31, at $805.90, after climbing over $1,237 in early December of that year. Again, depending on whether you’re looking at the highest price reached in early December or whether you’re looking at the end of the year price, Bitcoin went up by a factor of between 60x and 93x during the last 4 year cycle top.

The point of looking at Bitcoin’s first two cycles is to see that the first cycle saw larger percentage gain than the second.

Ethereum’s One Cycle Iteration

Ethereum wasn’t created/released until July 30, 2015, so there is no price data from 2013 – it didn’t exist back then.

So Ethereum’s price performance in 2017 was only it’s first 4 year cycle top.

We therefore anticipate that – just like had occurred with Bitcoin – the gains of the second 4 year cycle peak would be less than those of the first 4 year cycle top.

So, how did Ethereum fare in 2017, and what can we extrapolate for 2021?

Ethereum’s Past Price Performance

Ethereum started 2017 on January 1, at $8.20. It ended the year on December 31, 2017 at $736.77, after climbing to $800 in mid December of that year. The Altcoins had a cycle peak that was a couple weeks after Bitcoin reached its ultimate peak. After closing out 2017 at $736.77, Ethereum reached its 4 year cycle peak 2 weeks later on January 13 at $1,423.20. Depending on whether you’re looking at the highest price reached in mid January or whether you’re looking at the end of the year price, Ethereum went up by a factor of between 89x and 173x during 2017 for the last 4 year cycle top.

To recap, Bitcoin went up by 60x and 93x during its first iteration of the 4 year cycle peak, and 14x and 19x during its second iteration.

Ethereum has only seen one 4 year cycle peak during its existence, going up between 89x and 173x.

Price History As A Guide

If Ethereum follows Bitcoin’s lead and the rate of increase slows by the same amount that Bitcoin’s did from the first iteration to the second, that would mean that this year Ethereum will “only” go up between 18x and 34x.

With Ethereum starting the year at $729.12, that equates to a predicted price high between $13,124 and $24,790.

That’s our Ethereum prediction.

As the saying goes, “past performance does not guarantee future results.”

Like all future predictions, at this point in time we don’t know if the forecast is accurate or not, but as of press time, we have a high degree of confidence in our forecast price range being reached.

Time will tell.